She did have a shorter A time after the morning catnap. She slept in the morning from 9:35-10:10 (daycare woke her) and then her afternoon nap was 1:15-3:00, so a little over 3 hours when usually its 4 hours or so. I'm not sure she'd fall asleep with less than 3 hours A time but its worth a try! I think you are right, she's probably not ready to just drop a nap at this point, especially since she welcomes them.
Last night was interesting. She took two full naps at daycare, but she went down fairly easily at 7:00! I decided to get back to basics and extended our wind-down routine, kept it only in her room, and was pretty structured about it. I know this is such a basic thing! I think I've gotten a little more lax over the last year with the windown. We've always done bath, story, nurse, and then bed, but lately if daddy comes home during that time we'll take a break to play with him, or just get distracted by the phone, or whatever. Last night I kept it all in her room and she seemed to be getting much sleepier. Such a silly, basic thing, can't believe I hadn't thought of it. Anyway, worked great but may have backfired on us because we had a nightwaking from 11:30-1:00 and this is unusual for her.
I think at this age its just really difficult to get it right! Can't wait for one, predictable nap.